November is expected to be warmer and wetter than usual across much of Pakistan, the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) said in its monthly climate outlook, with above-normal rainfall forecast for the northern parts of the country and temperatures above average nationwide.
What happened?
The PMD’s monthly outlook for November 2026 forecasts above-normal rainfall across much of the country, particularly in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, northwestern Punjab and parts of Kashmir. Central Punjab and Balochistan are likely to see near-normal rain, while Sindh, southern Balochistan and some districts of southern Punjab may receive slightly below-normal precipitation. Temperatures are expected to remain above average nationwide, with the sharpest rises in Gilgit-Baltistan, Kashmir and northern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
Key details
- Most parts of the country received normal to below-normal rainfall in October.
- Above-normal temperatures could prolong the dengue season, particularly in southern Punjab, Sindh and Balochistan, where conditions favourable for mosquito breeding may persist.
- The National Disaster Management Authority’s outlook for October to December points in the same direction: winter is expected to start late and mild, with the first sharp cold spells from late November and real cold mainly in December.
- The PMD notes that the monthly outlook presents broad weather trends based on probabilistic forecasts rather than precise day-to-day predictions.
What it means for people in Pakistan
For farmers, above-normal rain in the north should help soil moisture for the rabi crop, while growers in the drier south should plan irrigation carefully. Households in the south should keep up precautions against dengue as warmer weather lingers. Travellers heading to the northern areas should expect wetter conditions, and everyone should follow the PMD’s weekly forecasts for day-to-day weather.
