Electricity could cost noticeably more in 2027. At a public hearing of the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, the Power Division sought an increase of about Rs2 to Rs4 per unit in the price paid for buying electricity next year, warning that the cost of power purchases could climb from the current Rs25.32 per unit to as much as Rs29.26 under its worst-case projection.
What happened?
The Power Division placed six scenarios for the 2027 power purchase price — the cost of generating and buying electricity before taxes and other charges are added to consumer bills — before the regulator at the public hearing on November 3.
The figures were presented by a team led by Central Power Purchasing Agency (CPPA-G) chief executive Rehan Akhtar and Power Planning and Monitoring Company chief financial officer Naveed Qaiser. NEPRA has reserved its decision and will announce its determination after reviewing the record and the submissions made at the hearing. Nothing has been approved yet.
Key details
- The base case — the central forecast — is Rs27.31 per unit, an increase of Rs1.99, or about 7.9 per cent, over the current Rs25.32.
- The ideal scenario, which officials themselves described as unlikely, puts the price at Rs25.88 per unit, just 56 paisa above today’s level.
- Two worst-case scenarios push the price to Rs28.84 and Rs29.26 per unit, increases of Rs3.52 and Rs3.94.
- The total cost of buying power for 2027 is projected at between Rs3.4 trillion and Rs3.8 trillion, against about Rs3.19 trillion this year.
- Fuel is doing the pushing: CPPA-G projects the fuel cost of generating electricity will rise from Rs7.74 per unit this year to Rs10.14 per unit in 2027 — a jump of Rs2.40 that is larger than the entire net increase. Capacity charges per unit actually fall slightly, from Rs15.29 to Rs14.72.
- The forecast rests on these assumptions: Brent crude oil at 92 US dollars a barrel, imported gas (RLNG) at 19.96 US dollars per unit, the rupee at Rs279 to the dollar, and electricity demand growing by 2.6 per cent. The worst-case scenarios assume a weaker rupee at Rs290 to the dollar.
- The projections were filed by CPPA-G on October 12 and will feed into the rebasing of consumer electricity tariffs that takes effect on January 1, 2027.
- Industrial consumers at the hearing also raised concerns about administrative costs feeding into the price of electricity.
What it means for people in Pakistan
The power purchase price is the biggest single part of the electricity tariff, so if NEPRA approves a higher reference price it is normally passed on to consumers through the base tariff or through monthly and quarterly adjustments. On the base-case increase of Rs1.99 per unit, a household using 200 units a month would see the energy cost rise by roughly Rs400 a month, before taxes. Under the worst case of Rs3.94 per unit, the same household would pay about Rs790 more. A household using 300 units could pay about Rs600 to Rs1,180 more a month, before taxes. Taxes and other charges are added on top, so the final increase on the bill would be higher — and the actual impact will depend on NEPRA’s final decision and the government’s subsidy policy.
Source: https://urdupro.info/electricity-price-2027-power-purchase-price-rise-nepra/
